Higher GST ≠ Automatic Prosperity: A 2026 Guide to Inflation, Compliance, Base Effects, and Seasonality
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January 10, 2026
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Capital Journal
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Key highlights If 2026 is going to be noisy, one narrative will dominate: “collections are up, therefore everyone is doing better.” That leap is emotionally satisfying—and analytically weak. Yes, October 2025 gross GST collections were ₹1,95,936 crore, higher than the previous year’s October figure, and the official note frames it as consistent with sustained festive demand. Press Information Bureau+1 But prosperity is not …
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CFPI Explained: The One Index That Shapes Public Mood Faster Than Any GDP Number
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January 10, 2026
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Capital Journal, Knowledge
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Key highlights If CPI is the official headline, CFPI is the lived headline. The Consumer Food Price Index exists because food is not just another category—it is the most frequent purchase cycle for most households, and the quickest trigger for public perception of inflation. MoSPI surfaces CFPI alongside CPI precisely for this reason: it isolates the kitchen from the rest …
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Pre-Budget Consultations 2026: Industry vs Trade Unions, and the Real Negotiation
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January 10, 2026
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Capital Journal
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Key highlights If you want to understand the Budget before it’s announced, ignore the noise and watch the consultations. The clean, verified data point for readers right now: the Ministry of Finance is officially inviting public inputs for Union Budget 2026–27 with a deadline of January 16, 2026. MyGov.in Now the bigger story: industry bodies typically push for competitiveness—lower compliance friction, predictable tax regimes, …
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UK 2026: Post-Brexit trade reality and the City of London’s next bet
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January 6, 2026
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Capital Journal, World
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Key highlights Post-Brexit trade reality in 2026: the unromantic bitBy 2026, the UK’s trade debate is basically: how much friction is priced in, and who adapts fastest. The UK government’s “UK trade in numbers” and ONS trade releases are the clean way to see direction without opinion layers. GOV.UK+1 Does CPTPP change everything?CPTPP membership expands options and rules-of-origin pathways—useful, especially for specific …
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Manufacturing and supply chains: what the Survey’s framing suggests for 2026 competitiveness narratives
Key highlights The Survey’s industry chapter is both flattering and unforgiving. It admits India has improved its global presence—but also states the gap bluntly: India holds 2.8% of global share in manufacturing, compared to China’s 28.8%. India BudgetThat single comparison is a 2026 narrative in itself: opportunity is large, but the hill is steep. The chapter also reminds readers that supply chains are not …
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January 2026 Reality Check: What the Festive GST Spike Still Tells Us (and What It Never Could)
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January 1, 2026
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Capital Journal, Economy
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Key highlights January 2026 is when the festive hangover turns into financial discipline. That’s exactly why October’s GST number still matters now: not as a victory lap, but as a baseline for what “normal demand” might look like when the calendar resets. The official release for October 2025 puts the topline cleanly: ₹1,95,936 crore in gross GST collections, a 4.6% year-on-year increase. Press Information Bureau+1 It …
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Base-Year Revision: The Statistical Earthquake India Is Walking Into in 2026
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January 1, 2026
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Capital Journal, India
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Key highlights Base-year revisions sound technical, but they are quietly transformative. They decide how the country measures itself. In late 2025, MoSPI convened consultative workshops specifically focused on revising the base years for GDP, CPI, and IIP—an institutional signal that India wants its macro lens to reflect newer consumption and production realities. Press Information Bureau+1 What makes this particularly newsworthy is …
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Varanasi’s Nightlife: Are We Sacrificing Culture for Commerce?
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December 31, 2025
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Capital Journal, Lifestyle
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Varanasi, 2025 – Known as the spiritual capital of India, Varanasi has long been a city where the sacred meets the timeless. However, a new dimension to the city’s identity is emerging—its evolving nightlife. From rooftop cafes overlooking the ghats to bustling night markets, the city’s after-dark landscape is rapidly transforming. But this transformation raises an important question: Are we trading …
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The Future of Youth Employment in Uttar Pradesh: A Comprehensive Analysis
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December 20, 2025
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Capital Journal
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Uttar Pradesh (UP), India’s most populous state, is characterized by a dynamic and burgeoning youth demographic. With over 60% of its 200-million-plus residents under the age of 30, the state’s demographic dividend presents both a transformative opportunity and a profound challenge. While the potential for fostering robust economic growth is immense, ensuring that this youth cohort has access to meaningful …
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The Role of AI in India’s Defence Strategy: Modernizing Military Operations
Introduction: Enhancing National Security with Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence (AI) is increasingly becoming a pivotal component of India’s defence strategy, as the nation seeks to modernize its military capabilities and enhance operational effectiveness. Recognizing the transformative potential of AI, the Indian government is integrating this technology across various aspects of defence, from intelligence gathering and surveillance to autonomous systems and …
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